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How to Use Market Profile in Forex



Financial markets are subject to change now & then. Therefore, for trading in a financial market, one needs a proper understanding of the blend of analysis and effective trading tools implementation like market profile. So, let’s find out, what does market profile mean?

A market profile is such a trading tool that one uses to observe the 2-way auction process that drives all movement; price over a particular time frame. To put it simpler, a market profile is a graphical representation of volume distribution at each price level that one uses to gauge the financial market stage at any given point of time; balance (flat) or distribution (trend).

The concept of Market Profile was first propounded by Peter Steidlmayer, who introduced it to the CBOT traders or the Chicago Board Of Trade in 1985. Before this concept came into the mainstream, the technical analysis tool had only the volume per time unit instead of both the time frame and price unit.

How Does the Marker Profile Tool Work?

There always lies a tug of war between the buyers and sellers regarding how low the buyers can buy and how high the sellers can sell. Buyers want to buy a low volume of stocks, and sellers want to sell a high volume of stocks, causing the price to move up and down continuously. At a particular point of time, this fluctuation between high & low volume of stocks and the fluctuation in price stops, and a fair price is obtained that satisfies both the buyers and the sellers. Marker Profile Tool WorkAccording to some scientists, when the financial market reaches this fair price or ‘balance price,’ the graphical display of the Volume Profile forms a bell shape. From this point, the stages are formed that go one after another, and the trend price movements of various strengths and duration start from this ‘balance price’ area. Scientists from all fields and sectors are now using this time-tested “bell curve” to analyze the market information.

The Profile chart compares the price (the variable) to time (the constant) by taking the price on the vertical axis and time on the horizontal axis. This chart helps to create a proper price distribution over time of any trading day. Therefore, whether a trader is trading ETFs, futures, or stocks, this time-sensitive and ever-evolving database would provide real‐time insight into the forces that shape the fluctuating activity.

Market Profile charting techniques are using the data from each day’s trading session and organize it in such a way so that one can easily understand who controls the market at that particular day and what is the “fair value” for that day. Each day the market develops a specific range for the day along with a value area; the value area is the point of equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Then, there are other ingredients in the Profile, along with the “fair value” that uses the Volume.

If the price moves away from the point of equilibrium in the Value area, the Volume begins to dip, which is indicative of the fact that the prices will again move back into market value. On the contrary, if the price moves away from the point of equilibrium on a strong volume, it indicates that the traders are re-evaluating the current market value area because now they are thinking differently and using different strategies; their trade sentiments have undergone a massive change.

How Is “fair Value” in a Forex Market Calculated by Market Profile?

A Market Profile chart is made up of TPO’s or the Time-Price Opportunities representing each trading session of a particular day. TPOs use different letters for each period of every trading session that may range from 30 min to 2 hours or more. The point at which the maximum TPOs occur is termed as the “Point of Control” or the POC. To calculate a value area, traders are using an average of 70% of the TPOs to represent whether the value area is high or low. The same value area is used as a reference in the trading session of the following day.

The TPO For a Particular Day Is Calculated in the Following Manner:

  1. At first, the total number of TPOs in a single day’s trading session is calculated, and then 70% of this number is considered.
  2. In the next step, the POC or the Point of Control is identified; the longest line the TPO that is nearest to the center of the Profile is the Point of Control.
  3. Now, the TPOs of the two prices are added that lie above and below the Point of Control.
  4. Now starting with the larger number of the two combined TPOs identified in the above step, both the larger and the smaller number are added to the Point of Control number, and the process is continued until it reaches 70% of the total PCOs of the trading session in a particular day.

This way, the range of hours that would yield the “fair value” is calculated; in a Profile chart, the first hour’s range is termed as the “initial balance” or the IB.

A wide initial balance is indicative of the fact that the prices will stay within that throughout the day. When the price goes above or below this initial range, it is termed as “range extension” that shoots high on trend days. However, sometimes the price stays constant at a given price level for a single TPO point, and this point is termed as a single point buying or selling tail.

How to Identify Days Based on Different IBs?

Identify Days Based on Different IBs

  1. A wide IB with a relatively balanced market represents a normal day.
  2. When there are less than 5 TPOs in a row that make the price move constantly in 1 single direction, it indicates a Trend Day.
  3. When a typical trading day starts as a trend day and then forms an equilibrium area, it is termed as a Double-Distribution Day.
  4. A trading day with a comparatively narrow trading range but with a wide profile with a little or no range extension is termed as a Non-Trend Day.
  5. A day with a symmetrical profile much closer to the Point of Control is termed as a “Neutral Day.

How is a Market Profile Indicator Used in Forex?

Forex or foreign exchange is the most liquid of all financial markets. Therefore, it demands a robust tool to analyze it; Profile indicator can be used as a powerful tool to analyze the forex trading market; how it is explained below; have a look.

  1. Help traders to understand both the short term and the long-term value in the forex market.

When a trader intends to buy or sell any financial instrument from a forex market, he must understand where the value lies as compared to the current market price. This is where the Market Profile indicator helps Forex traders to identify both the short-term and long-term value in the market. It is the only charting technique discovered so far that can identify value in the marketplace for any particular currency pair.

  1. Helps in Distinguish Between Trending and Non-Trending Markets

Forex traders use this market profile to identify the trending and the non-trending forex market. There is always a state of balance and imbalance of currency pairs lying in the Forex spot market. Using the Profile trading technique, one can easily monitor the balance points for the currency by transitioning between the balance and imbalance points in the forex market as and when they occur. The structure of the Profile trading tool helps in unveiling the existence of a directional market trend or a sideways market. And hence, traders are using this technique to capture directional moves very early. Trending and Non-Trending MarketsThe difference between a trending and non-trending market is that in a trending market, the structure of the Market profile trading tool is long and narrow, while in a non-trending or balanced market, the Profile is wider and more developed in structure.

  1. It reveals more information about the market than conventional charts

The Market Profile trading tool offers a unique charting approach that is different from bar or candlestick charts, which were used previously to graph activity. The unique structure of the Profile charting tool displays the character of the market, like, for example, where and at what price level and for how long did the majority of the business took place. All these provide significantly more information to a trader about the ongoing activities taking place in a forex market at a given point of time.

The Profile represents the actual buy and sells orders transacted in the forex market, which allows one to interpret inventory conditions, emotional trading, and other vital cues that are otherwise not visible in any other conventional charting tool.

  1. It helps to identify trade opportunities which are not otherwise apparent through any other charts

The Profile charting technique provides a unique visual representation of the forex market that can help one to identify trading opportunities that are not otherwise apparent on any other charting tool. For example, as one learns to study this Profile chart, he can easily spot a buying or a selling tail with the use of this technique, profitable auction points, fair price, or even the actual points of control.

Moreover, traders will also be in a position to gauge the perfect time when prices rise above a certain value area high or drop below a certain value area. These developments have the potential to create rewarding market opportunities that are not otherwise evident in any other chart types.

Wrap Up

Hence, one can use one of the powerful analytical tools called Profile technical charts for any market, whether they are manually traded or electronically traded. A Profile Concept can, therefore, also be applied to Forex, Futures, Stocks, Commodities, or Bonds. Even the Profile concepts can also be applied for position trading, day trading, or swing trading procedures. Results The Profile is thus much more than a mere collection of individual data points. It is a graphical representation of important market information that conveys the complex and composite side of the forex market as a whole. If a trader can precisely observe the forex market flow and the auctions using this innovative charting tool, they can easily decrease the market risk.

Despite these immense benefits, the Market Profile chart is also not free from criticism. Some Volume Profile trade experts believe that as the Forex market is not traded on a central exchange, the Market Profile techniques cannot be applied to the Forex market. However, this is partially true; though the forex market has no central exchange, the Market Profile provides invaluable insight to gauge the trends in the Forex market.

As such, the Market Profile structure can be used to analyze any currency pair. The profile’s conceptual design allows for a comprehensive analysis of the forex market without using technical indicators or complex tools. Once a trader understands how to use the Market Profile chart, there is no looking back or searching for any other charting tool. Traditional charts can’t help in identifying opportunities, but one can use a market profile to explore numerous market opportunities. It helps one to logically understand and interpret Forex market developments.


1. How Do You Do a Market Profile?

A Market Profile chart is created by placing the price (the variable) on the vertical axis against the time (the constant) on the horizontal axis. This chart helps in representing a quick format of a stock’s price and volume information over time. It provides immense help to long-term investors, the day-traders, or trade speculators. However, building a Market Profile for a business is slightly different, where you use a chart as a single graphic display to represent a stock’s trading history. A series of letters and colors are used in the chart to represent price action over time, more specifically over one single day. Along with a Market Profile, a Volume Profile indicator may also hold good in depicting the shares’ fair value.

The Market Profile chart also demonstrates the volatility of a stock over time, which not only represents how many units have moved but also measures the price-to-volume ratios at any given point of time to show how many stocks or futures have been traded at that particular point.

2. What Does Market Profile Mean?

A Market Profile is a graphical representation of price and time information in the form of distribution that one uses to determine the total time elapsed. The number of stocks or futures traded at a specific price over a given period.

3. How Do You Read a Volume Profile Structure?

As the name suggests, a volume profile signifies the number of stocks traded of any particular company within a specified time frame. If a movement in the stock prices happens with high volume, then the stocks are considered reliable and vice versa.

The Volume profile plays a very crucial role in confirming the trends or patterns in the market. Without a sizable Market Volume Profile, even traders can’t predict the trends with the use of the technical indicators.

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Coin News

What is Fuelling the Rally in DigiByte Cryptocurrency?




The DigiByte ecosystem is built with an emphasis on speed and security, which are often identified as limitations on different blockchains. DGB uses a proof of work algorithm to validate and complete a transaction.

With a strong price action witnessed on DGB, we can expect it to reach 10 cents valuations shortly. The current DGB price is facing some resistance from its 100 DMA that has coincided with the wicks on daily chart candles.

DigiByte Price Analysis

One day chart with Support Levels, Resistance, Moving Average, and MACD indicator

DigiByte has an active support range at $0.0500 levels on the immediate downside and resistance at $0.0791 levels. In order to remain in trend there needs to be some profit booking or consolidation, straight-line upside momentum often carries the risk of sudden profit booking induced by some new development.

DGB is for now trading in a bullish zone with immense buying interest. The MACD indicator shows chances of the rally to continue without consolidating but, DGB should halt its rate of progression in between to continue with the upside movement. Its 100 DMA comes out at around $0.06252 levels.

One hour chart with Support Levels, Bollinger, and MACD indicator

DGB shows an immense increase in volumes over the last few hours indicating increased participation from buyers and sellers of this cryptocurrency. As MACD is nose-diving towards the red zone we expect some retracement from current levels and a second attempt at breaking the recent high created at $0.066 levels based on our DigiByte forecast.

Support on hourly charts comes out to be at $0.0579 with Bollinger Bands hitting newfound volatility. The widening of Bollinger bands indicates scope for higher volatility and continuation of the upside movement. For now, DGB seems to have taken support from the lower end of the mean average line and faces some turbulence at the mean average line indicated by red.

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TRON Negates the Fall in Valuation with Strong Buying!




TRON has climbed huge mountains after its release in 2017 and has posted over 17650% of gains from its launch value in 2017 to September 2021. The value of TRX has undergone a huge change from $0.0022 levels to the current value of $0.9265 levels. TRON currently ranks amongst the top 30 cryptocurrencies with a market capitalization of over $6 billion with a circulating supply of 71 billion coins.

The value of Tron is straight forward a derivative of its exposed circulating supply and its potential. Comparing the numbers, TRON can process 2000 transactions per second compared to just six transactions per second of Bitcoin and 25 of Ethereum. Just comparing the numbers gives the transactional capability of TRX and its upscaling potential.

TRON has mostly focused on content creators and has used TRX coin as a way of rewarding content creators through its rewards. It even allows creators to develop their tokens and decentralize the gaming sector. Positioning itself as a content creator supporting ecosystem has enabled creators to connect directly with potential customers, eliminating centralized platforms. Considering the upscaling potential of Tron, people interested in investing here should hold their positions.

TRON Price Analysis

TRON retraced most of its lost value within a short time interval and is headed back towards $0.11 targets with a furious buying sentiment.

TRON Price Analysis

TRON underwent a surprise fall in its value within a concise time interval. The fall was responded with a huge buying action, almost equaling the selling volume on September 07 in the following day. TRON has once again jumped back to $0.0933. Surpassing the support zone will push the TRX price towards the close resistance of $0.11.

RSI levels have also jumped towards 52 from a steep decline, but the major uncertainty in sustaining the gains. If sellers activate their trades, we will witness a significant fall to the tune of its 100 DMA levels. As of now, TRON can be seen respecting its 200 DMA level of $0.08254. It is attempting a fresh price breakout but is more likely to close in an uncertain candle with wicks on both ends.

TRON price prediction

Hourly charts show consolidation as a large part of the trading action on TRX. It consolidates in a narrow range before giving a breakout and again consolidates within a narrow range. This price action is continuing, and there is a high probability of another breakout towards $0.100 levels. MACD on hourly trades has become positive again, and so has the RSI levels. RSI is now trading at above 50 levels. Combining all these indications and our TRX coin price prediction, one should hold their investments.

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MATIC: Can It Become the Bridge of Interoperability




Polygon MATIC intends to resolve the problems of the Ethereum network to promote better incorporation of blockchain technology. Polygon came into play as Ethereum transaction fees increased to a level that started to affect scalability.

Polygon has also started to develop its network to support the Ethereum Defi Ecosystem. Another positive news coming in the Polygon counter is Mark Cuban’s unrevealed investment in Indian cryptocurrency, MATIC. This investment news at a time when all crypto counters are witnessing consolidation of profit booking has the potential to fuel another bull run MATIC.

In our MATIC price analysis, we have covered the technical chart and possible breakout zones, as this news can also cause a profit-booking by some. The only trouble to MATIC’s bull run could be ETH 2.0 scalability solutions launch. We know MATIC is working on building layer 2 solutions on the Ethereum network, hence it will be an interesting aspect to decide the future of MATIC.

Could MATIC Win the Ethereum Scaling Race?

Listing of the MATIC token on the Coinbase crypto trading platform has been a ground-moving reason for this cryptocurrency. The MATIC token is used as a transaction fee on all the dapps built using a polygon.

Polygon (MATIC) is currently emphasizing sustainable NFTs with the latest integration. Its Proof of stake mechanism offers better energy efficiency as compared to the Proof of work mechanism used by Ethereum. By moving the NFT transactions away from the main blockchain of Ethereum, Polygon is creating a sustainable market of itself.

The growth lead of Polygon even mentioned the prospects behind incorporating NFT as their blockchain network. Polygon joined the Polkastarter council on May 27, 2021, which is an independent authority that works on the selection process of Polkastarter IDOs. This can be a revolutionary event in scaling the value of the MATIC.

What does the Future Hold for the MATIC?

MATIC has a fixed token supply, a low market capitalization, and works on a network that is increasing its reach are some of the factors fueling further boost in this token. As of now, this cryptocurrency has become the 12th largest digital asset.

MATIC has moved up from the lows of $0.68 on 1st May to $2.89 on 19th May. The volatility of every cryptocurrency is the result of major profit booking and coin dumping. But even so, how does the MATIC coin price prediction fare with the expectation of the crypto-enthusiasts.

MATIC coin price prediction

MATIC price is currently trading well above all its important moving averages. There is a significant movement, which has pushed this coin over the $2 range twice. Currently, the price action is respecting its 30-day moving average. This cryptocurrency has been trading well above its important moving averages. Even in the short term support level of 30 days moving average.

If it fails to take support from its 7 days moving average, the prices could plummet to the $1.3 range. Although given its price action, such a level would be a good buying range. In the long run this coin seems positive as it is respecting the important levels.


Polygon Matic has been witnessing some stiff resistance near its all-time high. Earlier on May 19, the MATIC price fell from the same range during the profit booking session across the crypto market. MATIC coin, however, rebounded from just below $1 valuational to reclaim its previous high.

As evident from the chart patterns, the $2.45 levels will be instrumental for this crypto to reach new heights. There seems to be a support building near its last resistance levels, but any sell-off can push this coin back to the $0.80 range.

RSI indicator is also closing the oversold zones, indicating some weakness in the short term. A rebound from these levels can push MATIC to battle the stiff resistance around $2.45 and test its all-time high.

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